If Tech is Headed for a Correction cue Oracle Corp.

Oracle (NASDAQ:ORCL)

Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ:ORCL) shares are the tech comeback story of 2009, YTD they are up 21% and with everyone raising price targets on ORCL shares, could there be some room to fall, is everyone just on an Oracle high?

orclOracle shares have been on a tear this summer and after the company closes on its  acquisition of Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ:JAVA) they will a $1.5 billion to its annual non-GAAP profit, and that the increase could go up to $2 billion in the second year after the deal closes.

IN LOVE WITH ORACLE
At the end of June, Oracle sales decreased 5% to $6.86 billion in the quarter. Net quarterly income declined 7% to $1.89 billion impacted by a stronger dollar and lower sales. Earnings per share dipped marginally to 38 cents from 39 cents a year-ago quarter.  Those results brought Oracle shareholders back to reality but its been the news of Oracle swallowing every decent software company it can that have investors and analysts head-over-heals in love with the company.

Last month Oracle Corporation announced that it has agreed to acquire GoldenGate Software, Inc., a provider of real time data integration solutions enabling superior IT performance and enterprise decision making. Financial details of the transaction were not disclosed.

They did talk up the Sun Micro deal, but then again, who wouldn't when you believe it will rake in $2 billion in profits in under 2 years.  The recent analyst take on ORCL shows the Street believes they can do no wrong:

01-Jul-09 Initiated Caris & Company Above Average $25
24-Jun-09 Reiterated Davenport Buy $22 → $26
22-Jun-09 Reiterated Jefferies & Co Buy $22 → $24
04-Jun-09 Reiterated UBS Buy $21 → $24

Its at a time like this when the dogs are barking that the tech sector may be ready for a correction that you begin to take some holdings off the table.  Oracle is a solid company, its got unbelievable potential but at any sign of weakness in this now volatile stock trading world, ORCL could shed a few points in a moment's notice.

theStreet.com reported today that European regulators have highlighted potential antitrust hurdles in Oracle's $7.6 billion acquisition of Sun Microsystems, according to a Dow Jones report.

Citing a person familiar with the matter, Dow Jones reports that the European Union Competition Commission has sent a questionnaire to the firms' competitors that focuses on Sun's Java technology, middleware for linking computer programs, and databases.

The companies have until Aug. 13 to respond, according to the report, which says the watchdog group wants to see whether the deal could increase prices and limit choice in the areas mentioned.

love is blindI'M NOT IN LOVE WITH HIM DADDY
Thus fellow investors, the dilemma of being in love with our stocks, maybe you're not in love with Oracle, could it be Oracle is in love with you?  Regardless, should Oracle run into issues closing on the Sun Micro deal, can the stock price justify staying above $20, how about getting past $20?

Then again, maybe love is just blind.

Disclaimer: No positions in any of the securities mentioned in this publication.

Oracle Corp. $ 21.43
ORCL 0.22
Short Interest (Shares Short) 39,746,800
Days To Cover (Short Interest Ratio) 1.2
Short Percent of Float 1.04 %
Short Interest - Prior 38,147,700
Short % Increase / Decrease 4.19 %
Short Squeeze Ranking™ -0
% From 52-Wk High ($ 23.62 ) -10.22 %
% From 52-Wk Low ($ 13.80 ) 35.60 %
% From 200-Day MA ($ 18.87 ) 11.95 %
% From 50-Day MA ($ 21.28 ) 0.70 %
Price % Change (52-Week) -7.20 %

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